2023 College Basketball Transfer Portal

drudy23 · 03-31-2023, 09:27 AM

Originally Posted by IM4X

Not sure if it was mentioned here…

I see that Primo Spears and Posh Alexander have entered the portal. It appears X has shown interest (at least in Spears). I think either (or both) would be nice to get.

Primo Spears is the mold of PG Miller loves. I think he would have to reign him in a little, but Spears is similar to Mark Lyons.

Xville · 03-31-2023, 09:46 AM

I think spears would be an awesome get and I think can be reeled in with proper coaching and a good cast around him. The guy obviously has a whole lot of talent.

**Jumpin_Jamal_Forever** · 03-31-2023, 09:50 AM

Originally Posted by Xuperman

ON3 has Graham Ike to Colorado 100%. He's from Colorado. They also have Kriisa to WVU or Nebraska for some reason.

Does anyone know if there is substance or any methodology behind these predictions? Are some sites more accurate than others? Would be an interesting project for someone (say Hettel) for extra credit of course, to spreadsheet some of these high confidence predictions and, after the fact, review their accuracy. Wonder if some positions, conferences or situations are harder (easier) to handicap than others.

MHettel · 03-31-2023, 11:33 AM

Originally Posted by Jumpin_Jamal_Forever

Does anyone know if there is substance or any methodology behind these predictions? Are some sites more accurate than others? Would be an interesting project for someone (say Hettel) for extra credit of course, to spreadsheet some of these high confidence predictions and, after the fact, review their accuracy. Wonder if some positions, conferences or situations are harder (easier) to handicap than others.

I'm not aware of anything that already exists. Its a good idea, but you'd have to pull the "data" from somewhere which would be the challenge. Lets say there were 4 or 5 different recruiting services that made predictions. You need to know what their final predictions were immediately prior to the decision and then determine if they were "right" or "wrong" in their prediction. I just dont think the "data" is available in large quantities to do that, and seems like it would have to be done manually which would be too tedious.

An alternative to looking backwards at what already happened is to just select a few players and manually track the different predictions until such point a decision is made. You would then immediately know who got it right...or not. My guess is that alot of sites might say "crystal ball 100% to Xavier", and then either change on a dime or remove the prediction if it turned out to be wrong.

XUBison · 03-31-2023, 11:47 AM

I sort of hate this transfer portal thing without the impediment of having to sit out a year. That said, we would be terrible next year without it. Frankly, we would’ve been terrible the last couple years without it. It’s not like we’ve gotten crushed by the portal – our guys have mostly stuck around. What the hell was Steele doing?

Sorry, rant over. I guess I am still suffering from Post Traumatic Steele Disorder.

Xavier · 03-31-2023, 11:56 AM

Originally Posted by Jumpin_Jamal_Forever

Does anyone know if there is substance or any methodology behind these predictions? Are some sites more accurate than others?.

On3 had kerr 100% going to WVA after his visit. Then 100% to Nebraska after his visit there. So I wouldn’t put any stock in what they said

MHettel · 03-31-2023, 12:00 PM

Originally Posted by XUBison

I sort of hate this transfer portal thing without the impediment of having to sit out a year. That said, we would be terrible next year without it. Frankly, we would’ve been terrible the last couple years without it. It’s not like we’ve gotten crushed by the portal – our guys have mostly stuck around. What the hell was Steele doing?

Sorry, rant over. I guess I am still suffering from Post Traumatic Steele Disorder.

It's crack. I woulndt want crack today if I hadnt done crack yesterday.

This whole thing has been a slow moving train . XU has LIVED off of Transfers for several years now. I could list 15 very key players over the last 15 years.

When they changed the rule to allow graduate students that still had eligibility to transfer and play immediately, we started taking advantage of that (Karem kanter, anyone?). then the immediately eligibility for everyone was just the next step towards this chaos.

This year we had Nunge, Hunter, Kunkel, and Boum as 4 of our top 7 guys.

Of COURSE we need to go back to the portal. And if we want to be good next year, we will need bonafide contributors at the D1 level. That means maybe our freshmen dont get much run. Which means the next year, we may need to go to the portal and reload. I think we are headed to a place where 25-30% of all players (that can) will at least enter the portal annually.

If I had a preference, our reliance on the portal should at least target guys with multiple years remaining. Boum was GREAT. We've had several 1 year guys that were key pieces. But I'd like to see more 3 year guys transfer in...

IM4X · 03-31-2023, 01:34 PM

Originally Posted by drudy23

Primo Spears is the mold of PG Miller loves. I think he would have to reign him in a little, but Spears is similar to Mark Lyons.

Wouldn’t the need to “rein him in a little” make Spears that much more similar to Lyons?

I for one would love to see a reined in, Lyons-like, “Primo” player on the roster next season, thank you!