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Thread: Covid-19

  1. #5361
    Junior Lloyd Braun's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Strange Brew View Post
    Sure, and there are age groups where it is unnecessary.
    If you care about herd immunity and eradication then it is necessary to immunize as many people as quickly as possible regardless of their risk for complications from the disease. That’s why we are in the slow burn, not enough immunity early on and variants are emerging. That goes for the world not just the US.

    If you don’t care about that herd immunity then it is unnecessary and to which I assume you are in the extreme end of the individualist-communalism/common good spectrum.

  2. #5362
    All-Conference Strange Brew's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lloyd Braun View Post
    If you care about herd immunity and eradication then it is necessary to immunize as many people as quickly as possible regardless of their risk for complications from the disease. That’s why we are in the slow burn, not enough immunity early on and variants are emerging. That goes for the world not just the US.

    If you don’t care about that herd immunity then it is unnecessary and to which I assume you are in the extreme end of the individualist-communalism/common good spectrum.
    At what % do we reach herd immunity?

    FWIW, I’m happy to be as far away from communism/authoritarianism as possible.

  3. #5363
    Junior Lloyd Braun's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Strange Brew View Post
    At what % do we reach herd immunity?
    Depends on transmissibility. The higher the transmissibility rate the higher the number needed. Most likely 80% or more.

  4. #5364
    All-Conference Strange Brew's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lloyd Braun View Post
    Depends on transmissibility. The higher the transmissibility rate the higher the number needed. Most likely 80% or more.
    And how do you reach this conclusion? What is the current vax % plus natural immunity?

  5. #5365
    Junior Lloyd Braun's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Strange Brew View Post
    And how do you reach this conclusion? What is the current vax % plus natural immunity?
    Epidemiologist formula which is not exact. Really it’s probably more like 90+% but there isn’t much data because the variants transmissibility is changing. Delta really driving this number up.

    Regarding how many people have immunity is a moving target. We have something like 50% of the population fully vaccinated. Some people have both natural and vaccine immunity. Some people just have natural immunity. I’m not sure there’s a way to know. Further, immunity from both wanes over time and until we have an accurate antibody test to determine what level of antibodies is considered immune it could continue to be guesswork and booster shot(s).

  6. #5366
    All-Conference Strange Brew's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lloyd Braun View Post
    Epidemiologist formula which is not exact. Really it’s probably more like 90+% but there isn’t much data because the variants transmissibility is changing. Delta really driving this number up.

    Regarding how many people have immunity is a moving target. We have something like 50% of the population fully vaccinated. Some people have both natural and vaccine immunity. Some people just have natural immunity. I’m not sure there’s a way to know. Further, immunity from both wanes over time and until we have an accurate antibody test to determine what level of antibodies is considered immune it could continue to be guesswork and booster shot(s).
    So, no one knows but they know we must or else get a shot (that has breakthrough cases) because why exactly?

  7. #5367
    Junior Lloyd Braun's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Strange Brew View Post
    So, no one knows but they know we must or else get a shot (that has breakthrough cases) because why exactly?
    Just because the exact number isn’t know doesn’t mean it isn’t attainable. The longer this goes on the higher chance we have another breakthrough variant.

  8. #5368
    All-Conference Strange Brew's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lloyd Braun View Post
    Just because the exact number isn’t know doesn’t mean it isn’t attainable. The longer this goes on the higher chance we have another breakthrough variant.
    Or not. We must mandate because something might happen when we don’t know how it works now is a poor argument for mandates.

  9. #5369
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    Quote Originally Posted by Strange Brew View Post
    Or not. We must mandate because something might happen when we don’t know how it works now is a poor argument for mandates.
    The odds of there being no more variants are probably as close to zero as you can get.

  10. #5370
    All-Conference Strange Brew's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lloyd Braun View Post
    The odds of there being no more variants are probably as close to zero as you can get.
    Likely, however so is the chance the current vaccine/therapy will stop them (breakthroughs, diminished immunity).

    You’re still not addressing why everyone must get them. I’m all for the vax but you/the Gov’t are going to have to work harder to explain why everyone must have them.

    And no. Because me and my college educated social club think so isn’t going to fly with many Americans.
    Last edited by Strange Brew; 08-04-2021 at 02:49 PM.

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