Long way to go and I see a lot of people staying home instead of voting for Trump. I do expect him the get a huge jump in black vote, less and less are buying into Trump is a racist argument like they where in '20Quote:
Originally Posted by XU_Lou
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Long way to go and I see a lot of people staying home instead of voting for Trump. I do expect him the get a huge jump in black vote, less and less are buying into Trump is a racist argument like they where in '20Quote:
Originally Posted by XU_Lou
Yea, I guess polls are always wrong when they go against your prognostications. LOL!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by Xville
In NH - you mean the Dems who switched to Indies to vote for Haley!!! LOL!!!
"In New Hampshire, thousands of Democratic voters have switched party affiliation to Republican or undeclared ahead of the state's primary next week. Some say they switched to support Nikki Haley." https://www.npr.org/2024/01/17/12252...ty-affiliation
Politico = opinion = wishful thinking. I provided hard data.
Ok so you didn’t read it. There were your polls in there and they weren’t about nh. Your “hard data.” Typical.Quote:
Originally Posted by XU_Lou
Moving on
I’m going to vote but if it’s those two, I’ll be leaving that one blank. Can’t morally vote for either of themQuote:
Originally Posted by xuwillie
See post #20352. You are aware that there's an electronic trail of you've said, right?Quote:
Originally Posted by Xville
Lets examine the ridiculousness and wishful thinking of the two polls cited in the article you posted. Your article said:Quote:
Originally Posted by Xville
"It’s an issue that became starkly apparent in polling ahead of the Iowa caucuses, when an NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of voters in that state found that fully 43 percent of Nikki Haley supporters said they would back President Joe Biden over Trump."
If that were true, then Trump would be headed for disaster in IA, right? Only problem with that quote is that Trump is up 9-13 points in IA against Biden: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ral/2024/iowa/
* Looks like pure wishful thinking on the part of Politico and that poll. Or maybe what we're talking about is 43% of a grape, rather than a watermelon.
The article then cites a New York Times/Siena College poll.
Out of this and the three polls I cited, the New York Times/Siena College poll performed the worst in 2020. Biden won 2020 by 4.5 points. In the final New York Times/Siena College poll before the election they said Biden was up 9 points - double what actually happened!! Likely a result of over sampling Dems and Dem-leaning indies, right?
Out of these same polls the final TIPP poll was the closest - they had Biden leading by 4 points. Today, as mentioned in Post #20351, they have Trump up 6 points among Indies.
Oh yea, and BTW, wasn't you who said:
But your precious New York Times/Siena College poll states that only 29% of the respondents in their survey considered themselves Indie. Hmmm..., who's right?Quote:
Originally Posted by GoMuskies
Oh, it most certainly will be. Can you imagine Biden in a 2 hr Presidential debate? My God, there is no way he could avoid total disaster.Quote:
Originally Posted by xubrew
There will be zero votes for sleepy Joe because he will not be on the ballot.
You seem angry. It’s polling dude, especially ten months out no one is right. The 48-49 is Gallup btw and nationwide. We know You think you’re right. Anyways, moving onQuote:
Originally Posted by XU_Lou
Wish you were right but it seems inevitable that it will be Biden vs Trump. Have to wonder if Comedy Central will pick up the presidential debates at this point. This country is such a laughing stock at the moment. Hope we can survive until 2028.Quote:
Originally Posted by Xuperman
It's over. Biden vs Trump unless something weird happens (health or courts). I'll vote third party, but if I was in a swing state I might actually have voted Trump. Biden is basically dead.
Trump crushed Nikki tonight. The vast majority of her "voters" were Dems: https://twitter.com/DailyCaller/stat...80189721784804
Still don't think this looks highly suspicious?: a total of 143K votes were cast in the 2020 R NH primary. This year: it looks like ~313K will be cast.
I have a feeling one extremely frequent poster is going to turn this thread into a Dayton message board.
Someone might want to send him some cheese.... because we all know he'll never move on.