Xavier & the BE Bubble

[D-West & PO-Z]

Frustrating loss but doesn't change we need to finish 18-13 to have a realistic shot. Losing this one just means we can only lose 2 more (less would be better).

[Xavier]

It’s always been get to 18. There’s really only one game left where I don’t think we can win (at Marquette) but I do think we match up better Vs them than we do Uconn or creighton. Home and road are obviously very different. But we have a 20 point win over SH and a 14 pt win over butler. I think we can beat both on the road.

If we win Wednesday I think we’re back on track to 18. If we lose I struggle to see a legit path.

[Xville]

Problem is that to get to 18, have to win 4 of next five. I have been optimistic all season but that seems like a tall order

[Xavier]

It comes down to SH. I would expect them to go 3-1 Vs Gtown/Providence/DePaul and a loss to Marquette.

[bjf123]

Heard Ken Broo and Steve Wolf on WLW this morning. Both think this week’s game at SH is a must win. Said the same about Clifton High and Iowa State this week.


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[Xville]

Just looked and unfortunately the Hall game isn't a quad 1 anymore. They dropped a ton after the pounding that Nova gave them. Now 76, Gross.

[Xville]

Of the next five games, X will be favored in four of them. If they continue to win the games they should per Kenpom/Vegas (as they have done all conference play), then X will win 4 of the next 5, be 17-12, and playing for everything that last week of the season.

[muskieindent]

I think wednesday is a must win if we want to get an at large bid. SH just got pasted by Nova. Beat them,Providence,Gtown,DePaul and then beat either Butler or Marquette .I'm not feeling to good about this scenario.We are probably going to need at least one win in NYC.

[MHettel]

I still think there is a path for XU to make the dance. All I'm saying is that it's possible....I'm certainly not saying that its likely.

Assume UConn, Marq, & Creighton are in.

Big East Standings and remaining Games

SHU (9-5)- @SJU, BU, @CU, @ UConn, Nova, Depaul

Helps XU with: Wins @ SJU, BU, Nova

XU (7-7)- Prov, @MU, DePaul, @ GT, @ Butler, Marq

X needs to: 4-2 at worst, without losing to DePaul or GT, and beating Marq at least 1x

Butler (7-7)- CU, @Nova, @SHU, SJU, @DePaul, XU

Helps XU with: Beating Nova and SJU. Losing to CU, SHU and XU. Losing at DePaul would be a gift.

Providence (7-7)- DePaul, @XU, @ Marq, Nova, @ Gtown, UConn

Helps XU with: Lose to Marq & UConn. Lose to XU. Take a loss to either GTown or Depaul. Beat Nova

Villanova (6-7)- @Gtown, Butler, @Uconn, GTown, @Prov, @ SHU, CU

Helps XU with- Lose to CU & UConn. Lose to SHU. Lose to Prov. beat Butler.

SJU (6-8)- SHU, @ GT, CU, @ Butler, @ DePaul, Gtown

Helps Xu with- Lose to SHU & CU. Lose to Butler


Bottom line is we want carnage. We need to root for UConn, Creighton, and Marquette against everyone. Root for SHU against the bubble teams. Hope that DePaul or Gtown can scratch out a win or 2 against Prov, Nova, SJU or Butler.

XU HAS to finish 4-2 to have any shot. 11 wins in the league should put us in a nice spot. 10 wins and we need help. 9-11 I think eliminates any BE bubble team.

[Xville]

I have been one of the optimistic ones this season, but unless this team goes at least 5-1 the rest of the way, I don’t see a tourney no matter what other teams do.

I also don’t see this team going 5-1. Things obviously can change in a week and maybe the front court got a wake up call but the hall game was scary how bad it was. There was very little effort that first half which is unsettling for a miller coached team.