Covid-19

[Juice]

Amy Acton on 3/29/2020:
"The Model shows a peak New Cases per day of 10,000 with a projected peak date of mid to late April."

10,000 projected vs an actual Peak (so far) of 427? Uh, that's a screw up. Big time. Social "distancing" isn't creating that.

https://www.cleveland.com/coronaviru...ml#incart_push

#JUST IN: Health departments across Ohio will now count who has tested positive for #COVID-19 as well as people suspected of having #coronavirus but who have not been tested, county health medical director Dr. Michael Dohn said. whio.com/home/coronavir…

We are now counting people who they think have it to change the numbers.

[smileyy]

Well, at least 30% of negatives are false negatives.

[xavierj]

We are now counting people who they think have it to change the numbers.

I guess they have to make it look better so they all don’t get blasted. I mean we shut down the country for a about a month now.

[Muskie in dayton]

I guess they have to make it look better so they all don’t get blasted. I mean we shut down the country for a about a month now.

Are you suggesting it was a mistake to do so?

[xavierj]

Are you suggesting it was a mistake to do so?

To shut down the country? Absolutely.

[noteggs]

This is a great social experiment. Who trusts the government? Not so sure it’s hard to guess.

[xavierj]

Are these numbers right or am I reading it wrong? 24,000 to 63,000 FLU deaths since October? Seems like a wide range. There were 34,000 deaths the year before. Should we expect the Coronavirus to continue killing people every year like the FLU does once we get through this current period or is this virus completely different?

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden...-estimates.htm

[xubrew]

Are these numbers right or am I reading it wrong? 24,000 to 63,000 FLU deaths since October? Seems like a wide range. There were 34,000 deaths the year before. Should we expect the Coronavirus to continue killing people every year like the FLU does once we get through this current period or is this virus completely different?

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden...-estimates.htm

I read somewhere (and I can't find where) that they believe there are currently eight different strands of the new coronavirus, but that they are all still very similar and it doesn't appear to be mutating into anything more dangerous or less dangerous, and that if you've been infected, you're probably resistant to all of the other strands. So, if that's the case, then once we get a vaccine and/or get to the level of herd immunity, it may not really ever be an issue again. At least not the COVID 19 virus.

But, who knows? It seems like we don't know all that much about it, but yet there is so much out there. Who knows if any of it is really right?

[waggy]

There are people testing positive in the furthest corners of the planet. When you consider this, it's curious why California has such a small number of cases comparatively speaking. The reality is it has been here in California since early January at least. Many people have already had it and didn't even know.

[X-man]

And in Today's "Let's do a Reality Check" Report for Ohio:

Today's Model Projection of new Cases per Day: 1,600
Today's Actual new reported Cases: 364 (down from prior day 366)
Highest Daily Total Increase in cases since report began on 3/9: 427 on 4/4/20. (Only 2 other days over 400- 4/6 with 407 and 4/3 with 410)
Actual TOTAL Hospitalizations: 1,612 since reporting began a month ago
Actual TOTAL ICU admits: 497 since reporting began a month ago
Total Ohio Hospital Beds: 34,000
Total Ohio ICU Beds: 2,500

Again, these numbers are ridiculously lower than the "models". We're supposed to peak on 4/19. But it's been almost a week since the 427 number was hit and we're pretty consistently in the 350-400 range at the highest. I'm not saying that 427 is the absolute peak, but where is the crushing influx? And now we've been separated for weeks.
Our economy and small businesses/restaurants are getting killed. When are these numbers going to match up? And we're supposed to deal with these closures for another 3 weeks? People, I submit we are being hoo dooed into economic ruin, by "models". Testing or no testing people are not flocking to the hospitals or the ICU', and they haven't been. Look, every life is precious, but are we going to act like this vs every infectious disease that we deal with from now on?

Please tell me when the numbers will validate?

So is Republican Governor DeWine just plain stupid, a puppet of evil Dr. Acton, or secretly in league with evil Democrats to destroy the economy and defeat Trump in November?