Xavier & the BE Bubble

[Xville]

Just win the next two (won’t be easy) and assure a .500 big East record and that’ll be good enough for me at this point. The hall and 2nd creighton game ended any chance of an at large.

If des is out any time x may not win another game.

[JTG]

Just win the next two (won’t be easy) and assure a .500 big East record and that’ll be good enough for me at this point. The hall and 2nd creighton game ended any chance of an at large.

If des is out any time x may not win another game.

Not saying I don't want Des back, but sometimes I think everyone stands around waiting for him to make a play. Granted it was DePaul, but they did fine last night when he got hurt. Maybe without him everyone plays harder and smarter knowing he's not there to help bail them out.

[bobbiemcgee]

I think we already have a 0% chance of an at large bid.


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Butler's chances of an at-large also near zero now.

Win the BE tournament? Stranger things have happened.

[bjf123]

Win the BE tournament? Stranger things have happened.

Then it wouldn’t be an at large bid. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯


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[MHettel]

Bloodbath in the Big East right now. All these bubble teams keep beating each other. Only 3 BE teams squarely in the dance right now, with SHU and Providence penciled into the first four. Providence is getting waxed by Nova today, and Nova may sneak into a better position that their current situation just off the bubble. SHU plays UConn tomorrow and likely faces a loss and bumps them off the bubble.

SJU still has some life. Butler and XU are out of it. X can’t even play spoiler at this point.

Nova plays SHU soon. That’s an elimination game. If Nova wins that they still need to play Creighton. If SHU wins, they get a gimme in DePaul to end the year.

Providence still has a game against UConn.

SJU only has DePaul and GTown left and could finish 11-9, 19-12. Could they sneak in?

Not a good year for the BE. I’d say there is actually a chance that the BE gets only 4 teams in. I think 5 teams is pretty likely. 6 seems like a long shot. The challenge becomes if one of the bubble teams steals the auto bid, it probably just knocks a different BE team off the bubble.

[fellahmuskie]

We can still get 5th place if we win out and Nova loses last two and Providence goes 1-1.

But we probably would rather get the 6th seed for a better path to the championship game.

I know it's ridiculous to play this out, but I can't help it.

[Xavier]

I think there’s like a 5% chance if X won out till the big East championship with wins over Marquette/Uconn/Creighton then they might get a play in game opportunity. But better chance they catch some crazy run ala gtown a few years ago and win the tournament

[MHettel]

I really don’t see any realistic way to make the dance. Quincy and Dayvion are playing really well right now. Can’t expect more from them.

Maybe Claude catches fire from outside and we just ride him for 2 weeks?

Maybe Nzeh just clicks somehow and our interior D and rebounding just skyrockets?

Or maybe Gytis catches fire?

Longshots, all

[JTG]

We're pretty much destined to play Butler the next 2 Wednesdays. A 5 against 8 game @ Hinkle and then at MSG for the right to get bludgeoned by UConn.

[HenryMuto]

So if Xavier wins out until the Big East finals then loses to UCONN do they get a bid ?