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Thread: Covid-19

  1. #551
    Supporting Member xu82's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by drudy23 View Post
    So most of Ohio has been pretty much in self isolation for almost 2 weeks.

    Is there any data yet to show that it's actually working? Is it still too soon?
    I donít know if this is an answer, but itís at least interesting.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

    New York is an absolute MESS!

  2. #552
    Junior xavierj's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by xu82 View Post
    I donít know if this is an answer, but itís at least interesting.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

    New York is an absolute MESS!
    So probably overall we wont see mass deaths from this thing it appears in the US. Even if we got to 1 million cases, not sure it will get to that at this rate, that would be 10,000 to 12,000 deaths. Say it gets to 12,000 deaths, that is really low compared to the crazy numbers people were originally throwing out. I heard a couple of weeks ago someone said something like 600,000 to a million people could die in the US...

  3. #553
    Sophomore Caf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by xavierj View Post
    So probably overall we wont see mass deaths from this thing it appears in the US. Even if we got to 1 million cases, not sure it will get to that at this rate, that would be 10,000 to 12,000 deaths. Say it gets to 12,000 deaths, that is really low compared to the crazy numbers people were originally throwing out. I heard a couple of weeks ago someone said something like 600,000 to a million people could die in the US...
    Not sure about 600 million but some have said at the peak we can expect 1,000 deaths a day. Hard to imagine at this point, but this whole thing has been.

  4. #554
    Junior
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    Given how sporadic testing is, # of deaths is the best metric we have, and even those are being under-reported.

  5. #555
    Has anyone seen this article, best news Iíve seen on COVID-19:

    https://www.dailywire.com/news/epide...ign=benshapiro

    Essentially one of the men who authored the original study that has driven much of the lockdown policy decisions has *radically* revised his death toll numbers *downward*. You may or may not be a fan of tbe Daily Wire, but the info can be found elsewhere - though several of the other sources failed to acknowledge the original numbers and only posted the revised figures.

    Principal

  6. #556
    Sophomore Lloyd Braun's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by principal View Post
    Has anyone seen this article, best news I’ve seen on COVID-19:

    https://www.dailywire.com/news/epide...ign=benshapiro

    Essentially one of the men who authored the original study that has driven much of the lockdown policy decisions has *radically* revised his death toll numbers *downward*. You may or may not be a fan of tbe Daily Wire, but the info can be found elsewhere - though several of the other sources failed to acknowledge the original numbers and only posted the revised figures.

    Principal
    It is important to note that his revisions are not admission of error but as a result of updated measures taken. The original projection was based on no measures being taken.

  7. #557
    Quote Originally Posted by Lloyd Braun View Post
    It is important to note that his revisions are not admission of error but as a result of updated measures taken. The original projection was based on no measures being taken.
    I’m less concerned about error and more concerned about whether or not governments will take this as seriously as the original estimates. Also, of equal importance, is why nations are making radical decisions that will affect far more lives than the virus itself based on insufficient data. Regardless, I hope this revision will be taken seriously and that cooler heads will prevail.

    Principal

  8. #558
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    Quote Originally Posted by xavierj View Post
    So probably overall we wont see mass deaths from this thing it appears in the US. Even if we got to 1 million cases, not sure it will get to that at this rate, that would be 10,000 to 12,000 deaths. Say it gets to 12,000 deaths, that is really low compared to the crazy numbers people were originally throwing out. I heard a couple of weeks ago someone said something like 600,000 to a million people could die in the US...
    Unfortunately, the death rate will go up if our ICU beds get overwhelmed. Hospital beds are not what matters as much in this case. It is the critical care beds & vents. Take Atlanta for instance and the rural hospital in Georgia that got slammed and overwhelmed:

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/atlanta...ts-2020-03-25/

    Keeping at low numbers (i.e. flattening the curve) as long as possible is vital to keeping our death rate low.

  9. #559
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    Secondary deaths (due to other causes) because ICU beds were not available need to be counted somehow.

  10. #560
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    The US now has as many confirmed cases as China:
    https://topic.newsbreak.com/covid-19.html?s=web
    "...treat 'em with respect, or get out of the Gym!"

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