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Thread: Covid-19

  1. #1801
    Hall of Famer xu82's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by boozehound View Post
    To be fair, that appears to be just an extrapolation based on the forecasted impact of a recession that we don't know the severity of. It's more 'fear porn' just aimed in a different direction. I believe there is absolutely a toll here, but 150K seems aggressive. Although their cover their bases be forecasting a huge range. It's just another model that is probably inaccurate, much like the ones that MOR has posted about 154,245,592 times.
    This overestimating is out of control! I bet MOR is barely over 150,000,000!


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  2. #1802
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    Quote Originally Posted by boozehound View Post
    To be fair, that appears to be just an extrapolation based on the forecasted impact of a recession that we don't know the severity of. It's more 'fear porn' just aimed in a different direction. I believe there is absolutely a toll here, but 150K seems aggressive. Although their cover their bases be forecasting a huge range. It's just another model that is probably inaccurate, much like the ones that MOR has posted about 154,245,592 times.
    I hear you and agree on the uncertainty. But the fact that our elected officials continue to refuse to acknowledge collateral damage is confounding to say the least.
    "...treat 'em with respect, or get out of the Gym!"

  3. #1803
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    Antibody testing places earliest Ohio coronavirus case in early January
    https://www.cincinnati.com/story/new...ry/3111627001/
    "...treat 'em with respect, or get out of the Gym!"

  4. #1804
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    Quote Originally Posted by Muskie in dayton View Post
    Antibody testing places earliest Ohio coronavirus case in early January
    https://www.cincinnati.com/story/new...ry/3111627001/
    I meant to reply to your previous post on this but got sidetracked... FWIW your doctor can now order antibody testing through LabCorp or Quest labs if he/she desires it to be done. The accuracy and value of this test remains in question but it’s probably accurate. It sounds like you had it, and I have seen other test results that are being contact traced to January and February. If you do end up getting tested and it is positive you may receive a call from the health department for tracing, but it sounds like you have your important dates logged regardless.

  5. #1805
    Junior Lloyd Braun's Avatar
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    I calculated a 51% increase in new cases in Georgia from 4/24-5/11. It is a worthless statistic as many have already covered so far... NBC cherry picking stats is either sensationalism or incompetence. On this case it’s both, as they didn’t even succeed at basic math.

  6. #1806
    Hall of Famer xu82's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lloyd Braun View Post
    I calculated a 51% increase in new cases in Georgia from 4/24-5/11. It is a worthless statistic as many have already covered so far... NBC cherry picking stats is either sensationalism or incompetence. On this case it’s both, as they didn’t even succeed at basic math.
    It is intentionally and grossly misleading, and I wish I was more surprised. We have gone from 900 new cases a day, to a dozen or fewer. But they still paint the most negative picture possible.

    Could that change? Absolutely! But don’t twist the truth to scare people and get ratings.
    Last edited by xu82; 05-12-2020 at 10:12 PM.

  7. #1807
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    Quote Originally Posted by xu82 View Post
    It is intentionally and grossly misleading, and I wish I was more surprised. We have gone from 900 new cases a day, to a dozen or fewer. But they still paint the most negative picture possible.

    Could that change? Absolutely! But don’t twist the truth to scare people and get ratings.
    I thought you guys were still at like 600+ new cases daily? Which is much better than 900 (33% decrease in new cases since opening businesses!!! See what I did there? Ha) but still somewhat significant.

  8. #1808
    Hall of Famer xu82's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lloyd Braun View Post
    I thought you guys were still at like 600+ new cases daily? Which is much better than 900 (33% decrease in new cases since opening businesses!!! See what I did there? Ha) but still somewhat significant.
    https://dph.georgia.gov/covid-19-daily-status-report

    Three new cases today. Seriously, according to the state. Can they be believed? Not sure, but it can’t be a TOTAL fabrication. It has to be somewhat close.

    I don’t trust our Governor, but he can’t tell me the moon is made of cheese. You can only twist things so much. Might we ramp back up? Of course! Probably will to some extent.

    EDIT: By the end of the day they were reporting 21 new confirmed cases. Still, a FAR cry from 900+!
    Last edited by xu82; 05-12-2020 at 11:09 PM.

  9. #1809
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    Quote Originally Posted by Masterofreality View Post
    So wear a F-ing mask!

    I'm admittedly conservative, but have zero problem wearing one.
    Surprised you do. Good. Tell your liberator buddies walking around yelling with no masks and AR 15's at the statehouses.
    2023 Sweet 16

  10. #1810
    Junior Lloyd Braun's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by xu82 View Post
    https://dph.georgia.gov/covid-19-daily-status-report

    Three new cases today. Seriously, according to the state. Can they be believed? Not sure, but it can’t be a TOTAL fabrication. It has to be somewhat close.

    I don’t trust our Governor, but he can’t tell me the moon is made of cheese. You can only twist things so much. Might we ramp back up? Of course! Probably will to some extent.
    Yea I think the data points on that graph are incorrect for whatever reason. I typically like the Johns Hopkins reports on this website....

    Here is a link from a news site that has new counts today over 800... which is still not terrible or increasing rate.

    “ The Georgia Department of Health announced new cases of COVID-19 on Tuesday. As of 7 p.m., there are 34,848 confirmed cases of the virus and 1,494 deaths reported. This is up from the 34,002 confirmed cases and 1,444 deaths that they announced on Monday evening.”

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