Less than 3 weeks now and the rumble at MSG begins. Working with the most likely win total for X at 9, I see only 1 fairly strong outcome that would avoid Wednesday.....finishing tied with PC at 9-9.
Butler blew an excellent opportunity last night to make the season finale at Cintas irrelevant in the seeding process. That said, it now looks like a 9-8 record for them when they hit town. If we sit a 8-9 and WIN, would X get the tiebreaker based on the Hall win? Obviously we lose a tiebreaker with MU but they will probably get to 10 anyway.
I guess it all comes down to that magic number NINE and if we do get DePaul on Wednesday, it will be just fine as 9 BE wins get us in the Big Dance.
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Thread: Avoiding Wednesday in the BET
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02-20-2020, 06:05 AM #1
Avoiding Wednesday in the BET
Last edited by Xuperman; 02-20-2020 at 06:12 AM.
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02-20-2020, 08:22 AM #2
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This might help you: http://bball.notnothing.net/bigeast.php?sport=mbb
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02-20-2020, 08:41 AM #3
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So I went through and ran the following permutations:
1. The games not involving Xavier are won by the Favorite.
2. Xavier goes 3-2 in their last 5 games to finish 9-9.
There are 10 permutations to reach 9-9. In sixof them, we get a 6-seed, and the other four we get a 7-seed. Here they are:
Code:5 Remaining Games Home-Nova Win Win Win Win Win Win Loss Loss Loss Loss Home-Depaul Win Win Win Loss Loss Loss Win Win Win Loss Road-G'Town Win Loss Loss Win Win Loss Win Win Loss Win Road-Prov Loss Win Loss Win Loss Win Win Loss Win Win Home-Butler Loss Loss Win Loss Win Win Loss Win Win Win Seed 7 6 7 6 7 6 6 7 6 6
So we if we go 3-2, we must beat Providence. The other 4 games do not matter as long as we get 2 of them.Last edited by dethwing; 02-20-2020 at 08:45 AM.
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02-20-2020, 08:43 AM #4
This is interesting. It looks like if we beat Villy, we still need to beat either G'town or Providence. Even if we lose to Villy, we still need to beat G'town under the given scenario and everything else chalks.
I don't always drink beer, but when I do, I drink 2XS.
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02-20-2020, 08:59 AM #5
If we go 9-9, I'm okay with Wednesday night in MSG. Gives us another winnable game to pad our total. We'll be a lock at that point anyway.
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02-20-2020, 09:01 AM #6
Man, that thing is fun to fool around with!!!
Seems to me that everyone should be rooting for Seton Hall to finish strong and win the reg season title....then X does win that tiebreaker vs Butler if both finish 9-9. If CU wins the reg, that goes away.
The SHU-Nova game on the 3rd could end up being key...if Nova wins and both end up 14-4, we lose the break to Butler because of going 0-2 vs Cr8n.Last edited by Xuperman; 02-20-2020 at 09:09 AM.
President of the Eddie Johnson Fan Club
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02-20-2020, 09:08 AM #7
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02-20-2020, 09:22 AM #8
Yea, if we can get to 9, all the rest is gravy. HOWEVER, 9 wins means we will have went 7-3 down the stretch and HOT enough to be thinking championship Saturday......you know we all will be salivating over the possibility! It would be a shame if that 7-3 finish doesn't earn us a Wednesday bye.
Last edited by Xuperman; 02-20-2020 at 09:33 AM.
President of the Eddie Johnson Fan Club
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02-20-2020, 09:52 AM #9
I'm behind, didn't realize Marquette is only 7-6 (should be 6-7 if Xavier didn't choke that home game away). Was thinking there was a likely scenario where Creighton and Marquette finished 2/3, but that's out the window. I'd say Xavier has a better chance of going to the Sweet 16 than beating Marquette and Creighton on back-to-back nights.
My only preference for BET seeding is avoiding Creighton and Marquette. If SH/Nova are the 2/3, I'm definitely good with being the 6/7 (assuming we're talking about a playing for NCAA seeding scenario).
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02-20-2020, 10:00 AM #10
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