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  1. #1
    Walk-On bpo's Avatar
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    Vegas Loves the Muskies - Kent State Edition

    Quick look at ATS thought the first 8 games.

    Favored in all.

    Covered in all except ASU

    Over hitting 6-2.

    For those that follow first half lines have been favorable to soft. I'm guessing this next schedule segment we will start to see a bump both in the lines and u/o.

    http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-...fm/team/xavier

    Screen Shot 2017-12-05 at 10.18.21 AM.jpg
    Last edited by bpo; 12-05-2017 at 01:28 PM.
    Helping X keep it classy since '96

  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by bpo View Post
    Quick look at ATS thought the first 8 games.

    Favored in all.

    Covered in all except ASU

    Over hitting 6-2.

    For those that follow first half lines have been favorable to soft. I'm guessing this next schedule segment we will start to see a bump both in the lines and u/o.

    http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-...fm/team/xavier

    Screen Shot 2017-12-05 at 10.18.21 AM.jpg
    It's a trend I have noticed as well for sure. Speaking as someone who had a particular interest in -3.5 1H vs ASU, that was a tough one.
    I think Jesus would be a left handed player. - Kenny Anderson

  3. #3
    Walk-On bpo's Avatar
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    Judging by the pick score from forum members I'm guessing the line settles between 22-28. First half number will be interesting on this one.

    Golden flashes have had 4 lines this year, been favored twice and dogs twice. Have covered both times as a favorite, and have loss both times as the dog. Averaging 80 points per game.
    Overs hit 1/4
    Under hit 3/4
    Helping X keep it classy since '96

  4. #4
    I approve of this strategical thread.
    I think Jesus would be a left handed player. - Kenny Anderson

  5. #5
    Looks like we need 22+ over Kent State.

  6. #6
    Walk-On bpo's Avatar
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    I'm guessing the u/o opens at north of 150? just a guess. Kent State's 1st game of the year was 167.5 and they won 111-78 - WAY OVER. They can score from three spots. Flow and sub patterns for this game will determine cover and u/o IMO.
    Helping X keep it classy since '96

  7. #7
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    -23 , 155 OU.

    TRAP GAME ON THE OVER IMHO. Exams start next week, UC hangover.....I suppose neither team could play defense, Scrugs and Naji looking to pad stats in a track meet, but I don't think so.
    It's a great day to be a Muskie!

  8. #8
    Walk-On bpo's Avatar
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    whole heartedly agree that it's at the very least a line trap. The -10 first half line is intriguing.

    If anything I would think the unranked teams wreaking havoc on ranked teams yesterday might be the wake up call Mack and the coaching staff need to pound a point home that you can't take any days off.

    With Xaviers tendency to play incomplete halves, and at the very least continue to have 2-4 minute segments each half where they have empty possessions on offense, and allow easy buckets on D - the u/o becomes a compelling play.

    I'll post where I'm at after I look at some stuff and do some drunk Irish math....
    Helping X keep it classy since '96

  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by bpo View Post
    whole heartedly agree that it's at the very least a line trap. The -10 first half line is intriguing.

    If anything I would think the unranked teams wreaking havoc on ranked teams yesterday might be the wake up call Mack and the coaching staff need to pound a point home that you can't take any days off.

    With Xaviers tendency to play incomplete halves, and at the very least continue to have 2-4 minute segments each half where they have empty possessions on offense, and allow easy buckets on D - the u/o becomes a compelling play.

    I'll post where I'm at after I look at some stuff and do some drunk Irish math....
    It's just a simple formula. Vegas doesn't spend hours debating what they should set the Xavier lines at. KenPom has X by 21. -22 sounds about right.

  10. #10
    Walk-On bpo's Avatar
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    wasn't debating the line(s) - was simply stating in the last post that I thought there were some compelling plays with todays numbers, and that I was going to figure out the game flow and base any plays(for those so inclined) off of that. I pretty sure I understand how lines are made.
    Helping X keep it classy since '96

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