All I know is that I sweat my ass off at the tribe games this weekend. And the bathrooms at the Thirsty Parrot and Clevelander were well over 110 degrees. Palms trees are sprouting!
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Thread: Soooooo, where is the Warming?
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07-15-2018, 03:41 PM #1791
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07-15-2018, 03:43 PM #1792
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07-15-2018, 04:16 PM #1793...he went up late, and I was already up there.
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07-15-2018, 05:06 PM #1794
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07-15-2018, 07:03 PM #1795
Industry cut expenses by abandoning the Gold Mine without cleaning it up after 125 years. There are approx. 500,000 more mining sites somebody will have to clean up. Thanks Industry.
2023 Sweet 16
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07-15-2018, 08:30 PM #1796
Scientist here. Long time till the season ... so I'll venture as I'm trying to learn this stuff myself at a much higher level. I'll take a first question from good friends MOR or XU87. Science only. Policy is something different.
I'd like to start with it seems there was a long term stable 300 part per million (ppm) carbon dioxide (CO2) level that has risen to around 400ppm since the industrial revolution and continues to rise at 2-3ppm/yr in recent times. The hypothesis is that this fact (is it a fact?) is the result of human activities (this is hypothesis, is it scientifically true?).
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07-15-2018, 09:25 PM #1797
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07-15-2018, 09:35 PM #1798
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07-15-2018, 10:39 PM #1799
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07-16-2018, 08:52 AM #1800
Good questions - I’ve already learned some new things myself looking into them. Some initial answers.
Over what geologic time period are you interested in CO2 levels, temperature, and mean temperature? I’d suggest using a period not more than 100 million yrs ago. There were periods when CO2 concentrations were x2 to x10 of what they are today. Temperatures were generally higher at that time as well estimated to be 5-15 degC higher. There was an extreme spike in these quantities some 56 Myrs ago. Maybe you mean over the last 3 Myrs ago or even the last 12,000 years? 150yrs?
I don’t know how science can address the question of “what should the “ideal” mean temperature of earth be?”
Water vapor is indeed very much a stronger greenhouse gas than CO2. I am trying to learn better and whether CO2 is important as a modern GG gas. Let’s get there … but first, is there any dispute that human activities are responsible for increased CO2 concentrations? second, we can ask if human activities are responsible for recent rises (if there are rises) in the earth’s temperature. Then we can understand how these are related, if at all.
I’ll call a scientific law a determination that passes the rigors of the scientific method including peer review and for which there is a scientific consensus. A scientific theory is a supposition, a hypothesis that could become a law or found not to be a true representation of nature.
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