So best upside is 4th and worst downside is 8th. Not bad considering the kind of year it's been.
Results 21 to 26 of 26
Thread: Are We Still Alive for a Bye?
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03-08-2013, 09:33 AM #21
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03-08-2013, 10:37 AM #22
- Join Date
- Feb 2008
- Location
- Maryland
- Posts
- 698
I really hope that they miss out on the 8th seed because I heading up early in the morning on Thursday but still won't get into NYC until noon. and then i would have to somehow get over to Brooklyn from Time Square. Best case I would see the second half. I am really hoping for any game after the noon tip off.
PS has anyone figured out the odds of what each seed would be? Out of the 5 seeds we can still get, what is the most likely?
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03-08-2013, 11:50 AM #23
If GW beats UD, is it possible for them to be left at home? It appears that way.
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03-08-2013, 11:55 AM #24
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03-08-2013, 02:56 PM #25
I think...
#4 with a XAV win & TEM loss (25%) {18%}
#5 with a XAV win & TEM win (25%) {12%}
#6 with a XAV loss, MAS loss, & SJU loss (12.5%) {7.9%}
#7 with a XAV loss and a loss by MAS OR SJU (25%) {31.2%}
#8 with a XAV loss, MAS win & SJU win (12.5%) {30.1%}
Numbers in braces use game odds provided by sagarin...Last edited by XU '11; 03-08-2013 at 02:59 PM.
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03-08-2013, 03:05 PM #26
Those would be the odds if each game was a coinflip. Unfortunately, Xavier is probably looking at about a 25% win probability.
VCU is probably something like 70% to beat Temple, UMass is maybe 85% to beat URI, and SJU is probably 50/50 at Charlotte.
With that, I'll say
#4: 17.5%
#5: 7.5%
#6: 6%
#7: 37%
#8: 32%
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