Xavier just might get in after all. Just need Memphis and VCI now. We still might not get in but our chances will def go up to prob 60%
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Xavier just might get in after all. Just need Memphis and VCI now. We still might not get in but our chances will def go up to prob 60%
I hate that pedigree talk. It should never be that way. It should be pure meritocracy. I get bowl games, but that should spill to the basketball tourney.
Interesting fact I didn't know until just now this is UC San Diego's 5th year in division 1 so that means this is their 1st year eligible to make the NCAA tournament. They were not even eligible for their own conference tournament last year as the Big West denied them that chance.
Well they probably would not have made it as at large but this is good they locked it up just in case
I’m still not sure VCU is an at large. Still want them to be safe though. VCU/Memphis win and I think X will be in.
The committee using so many metrics makes it somewhat tough. When you get to the 3-4 teams going for the last two spots, each team can cherry pick metrics. Just depends what committee values.
Not a fan of the NET. At ALL. Give me the info on how it’s calculated, then maybe I get on board. But in the meantime, I cannot support this idea of a black box metric being so essential to the selection process.
That said…there are some interesting things to consider.
The BE is the 4 rated conference via net. We have 4 of 11 teams squarely in. We would be #5. 5 of 11 (45%) teams for the 4th best conference.
The ACC is ranked 5th in the NET and have 18 teams. They have a lot of separation at the top of the conference, with the top 3 teams having a total record of 55-5. Wake, UNC and SMU lingering on the bubble. I can see a rationale for considering the 5th best conference as a 4 team tourney participant (22%). If the BE was in those spot, I’d be lobbying hard (to nobody that matters) that this should be considered.
The MW is the 6th ranked Conference. They also have 11 teams. They have 4 teams in, but one was a bid stealer. 5 of 11 from the 6th ranked conference instead of 4 of 18 from the 5th ranked?
Maybe this isn’t by the book, but if they are splitting hairs at the end, and can see this type of analysis creeping in.
Similarly, maybe that 4th place finish (via tie breaker) in the Big East will be a difference maker for us.
Now we wait
Back in January, when X was struggling and written off by ( admit it) all of us, it seemed like March basketball was out of reach. Yet here we are, on Selection Sunday, even having this conversation—despite only one Quad 1 win. That in itself is a testament to how far this team has come. No matter what happens, they fought their way back into the conversation when few thought it was possible. That’s something to be proud of.
Bartorvik has X as the 3rd to last team in. (57% of making it) with SDSt, Texas, UNC, Boise behind them. It’s all over the place trying to get the last couple teams.
Vegas has X at -450 to make the tournament. Best odds they have had over the last couple weeks. Add- that was on DK. It’s been removed, FanDuel it’s -140. Other places have UNC/Boise/Texas as +money but both Indiana and Xavier are not teams you can bet on.
Doesn’t mean much just found it interesting
*duplicate