Originally Posted by
MHettel
Well, it appears that some degree of reality is setting in.
The portal "window" may well turn out to be more important annually than the traditional recruiting window. In fact, I'm fully expecting that.
But I think there is alot more reality that we maybe dont want to face.
When deciding on a new school, I think about 80% of the final decision will come down to the amount of NIL money offered. By that, I mean if all other things were equal and a player was considering 2 schools, that if one offer was less than 80% of the other, then the larger offer will be the deciding factor.
I'll take that idea even further. It is very rare that "all things are equal", and I think 50% of ALL transfer decisions will be based on NIL Money. Take this scenario: School A is in a very good conference with a quality coach and a tournament worthy roster, and is offering 100K in NIL. Team B is Miami (OH) and is offering 200K. remember, you are a 20 year old kid.
Money is going to be a major factor and in some cases will be the only factor.
Anyone can see this in hindsight. But can you see it in foresight? This is happening. The biggest and most popular teams will dominate the NIL "market" with "corporate" dollars designed to return some marketing benefit. Then big affluent alumni bases will also play a big role by just funneling money directly to kids with no apparent marketing obligation of the kid.
the more I look at the way the rosters of some of the NCAA teams that went deep were constructed, the more convinced i am that we are just at the edge of this wave.