Originally Posted by
xudash
Another line of thinking I shared on the A10 board:
It's early in the process, but this move most likely will lead to a direct impact on the A10.
If this is official - and it certainly appears to be credible - then the SEC obviously needs to add one more program. There is a lot of noise coming out of Tallahassee that FSU could get the nod to take the SEC to 14 teams. If that's true, I believe that is the scenario that most likely rips at the existing fabric of the BE football conference, because the ACC is going to have to replace FSU and will want to do so within some semblance of its existing footprint. Rutgers, Pitt and Syracuse become obvious candidates for the ACC's hole. In fact, recall that Syracuse was targeted by the ACC, during its earlier raid on the BE.
Now play that one out for a minute. IF you're the ACC, why not take all three, if you can make the math work out right. If the SEC is going to 14, why not go there as well, now, while you have the opportunity to be more selective, especially knowing all three of those schools are in the Atlantic-type footprint.
I always thought the BE would finally split due to expansion. I had not considered a scenario that involved implosion.
The ultimate losers: WVU, UL and UC. The thought of UC ending up back in some kind of C-USA conference makes me laugh. Damn shame.
Another scenario? The balancing team also comes from the BigXII, having the effect of probably caving in that conference, with the BE picking up major remnants and still splitting. With A&M gone and another major conference program also leaving under this scenario, would Texas remain involved? Doubtful, but maybe in order to protect its Olympic Sports. The point here is that I doubt the remaining BigXII would look to schools like Houston, etc. to backfill. They would probably end up becoming weaker than the ACC and BE in football at that point.
Put on your seat belts. This is going to be an interesting ride.