Originally Posted by
X-band '01
Let's look at a few seats contested:
West Virginia - Joe Manchin retired. No way in hell Democrats hold this seat.
Ohio - Sherrod Brown is a 3-term Senator, but Ohio is getting a lot redder. Might hold the seat, might not.
Montana - Democrats have a better shot at holding this as long as they don't face a Trumpy nominee
Arizona - real wildcard with Independent Kristyn Sinema, Democrat Ruben Gallego and Republican Kari Lake. This would be almost half a pickup if this goes from I to a more solid D
Maryland - Larry Hogan's entry into the race means national Democrats now have to put money in a race that should be a solid Democrat 99% of the time. Don't think Hogan wins, but he's much more well known than whoever gets the Democratic nomination
Texas (Ted Cruz) and Florida (Rick Scott) might flip, but we're talking about states that are a lot more solid red.