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The trend in global new cases on a daily basis is definitely trending down now. The peak was 4/4, and we had another jump up (but well short of the peak) on 4/10. But the trend is without a doubt to the downside. Looking very good finally.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html
I would assume that the fact that Detroit still has a major COVID problem (over 500 deaths in Wayne County) coupled with the fact that it is difficult (if not impossible) to limit interstate travel is giving Ohio some cause for caution. In an alternative reality in which you could test, trace, and isolate while limiting interstate travel (particularly from Michigan and other hot spots) you probably could open Ohio back up right now.Quote:
Originally Posted by Juice
Tennessee and KY also seeing much lower rates than models predicted and now are lowering estimates by quite a bit. In Tennessee, 617 deaths predicted by August, down from the earlier prediction of 4,985. KY was predicted to have 2,000 deaths with strict compliance and now predicting around 900. Models predicted without restrictions, 16,000 KY deaths. No shortage of beds expected in KY or Tennessee. KY currently has 104 deaths and Tennessee has 109.Quote:
Originally Posted by Masterofreality
https://www.thecentersquare.com/tenn...c355bd3c9.html
Quote:
Originally Posted by drudy23
It sure saves a lot of money on a lot of levels. I don’t think it will have a terrible effect on commercial real estate, but it could make some difference. On top of that you have all the travel that is of questionable importance. My wife, on average, travels for all or part of three weeks a month. I have no idea what the annual expense is for airfare, meals and Manhattan or Boston hotels, but it’s got to be a pretty big number. And that’s just one person.
Think of how much can be saved by making some changes to what is “Normal”.
Welp.
As reported in the Wall Street Journal today, the second wave of furloughs and layoffs is now beginning to occur. This is affecting white collar and professional workers and is going to exponentially increase faster than the virus unless something is done to get this economy back moving.
And this is the point of me posting these reality updates everyday. As I've said numerous times, I have supported DeWine's actions to date, but their continual reliance on faulty info, when there is more of it and more accurate, to make these decisions as to how long this lockdown goes is going to mess things up for a lot more people and a lot longer time than necessary. Keeping everything under lock and key until May 1st is wrong, IMO.
Require everybody to wear masks/ Yes. Take samitary precautions to not spread it anymore/Yes. Keep a lid on any live sports with fans/Yes. Keep schools closed for the rest of the year/OK. But keeping businesses closed that need customers? End it.
I would be considered in a "high risk' group, but you know what? We gotta crank things back up again, and fast. My 97 year old Mother in an Assisted Living Home is all in favor of opening things back up so she can be visited, by us and her Eucharistic Minister. No Government can print enough money to keep people solvent.
Medical people are trained to be overly cautious- that is their charge- Do no harm. BUT, that only applies in their own realm, not the economic realm. All you guys out there can have at me, but it's time to get back to, at least, limited living where economic activity can move on.
Let's Ride!
I work in the skilled nursing/assisted living/long term care world.Quote:
Originally Posted by Masterofreality
IMO we are going to see restrictions in those spaces a lot longer than the rest of the community.
I tend to think even as the rest of society opens back up they are going to go much longer with restrictions to those facilities to keep the older population's risk minimized.
Quote:
Originally Posted by D-West & PO-Z
Yeah, this will (and should) happen gradually and in stages. Places like where my mother lives will be the last to get to our “new normal”. No telling when I’ll be able to go visit (beyond dropping off groceries) or to spring her loose to go out to lunch. Even getting together with her friends to play cards is way down the road.....and she’s 92.
MOR,Quote:
Originally Posted by Masterofreality
You and I are on the same page. I’m high risk also but please, please let me make those informed decisions. My wife is a retired nurse we know and will do what is best for us and others. But looking at current data it’s time to begin an easing of restrictions. Just one man’s opinion.
From The NY Times:
Breaking News: New York City’s coronavirus death toll soared past 10,000 after officials added more than 3,700 people who had never tested positive for the virus but were presumed to have died of it.
https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1...781922816?s=21
I have no idea why the majority of our country just accepts this BS.
How many more H1N1 deaths would have there been under “presumptions”.Quote:
Originally Posted by Juice
Another goal post move...to keep us under the Thumb.