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Baseball America has Xavier in the "Work to Do" category...but they seem to think Xavier is going to make it as an at-large with a decent finish.
Xavier (25-22, 9-6; RPI: 29; SOS: 10): The Musketeers got a much-needed sweep of Butler over the weekend. The metrics are outstanding, the underlying results (5-11 in quad 1, 7-13 vs. quads 1 and 2) may make some uneasy, but they’re not unique among bubble teams (Virginia Tech is also 5-11 in quad 1, for instance). Xavier needs to watch its overall record, as having a winning overall record is a prerequisite toward a tournament bid and it doesn’t have an easy finish (at Georgetown, Villanova and midweeks against Kentucky, at Miami (Ohio), Oklahoma). But as long as the Musketeers qualify for the tournament and has this kind of RPI, they’re fine.
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What do they say about Creighton? They're a slam-dunk when it comes to midweek games yet they have virtually no shot of making the Big East tournament field.
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Creighton (31-14, 4-10; RPI: RPI: 61; SOS: 139): I’m including Creighton here only because of its RPI and because it hasn’t yet been eliminated from Big East Tournament contention. But unless the Bluejays sweep UConn this weekend, it’s over. Which is too bad because they’re 27-4 in non-conference play with 3-0 record against Nebraska and two wins against Coastal Carolina. But they’ve also won just one conference series and that’s not good enough
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Looks like the game against the Red Hawks will proceed today.
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Got a good old fashioned pitchers' duel so far. 5-5 bottom of the second.
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I see Isaac Wachsmann is back as DH. He had been out of the lineup for a while.
A number of guys (Tyler DeMartino and Garrett Schultz) have been injured and haven't played since March. Not sure if they're coming back or not.
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Really wild 9th inning. Miami hit a 3-run HR to take an 11-9 lead going into the bottom of the 9th, but Xavier answered with a 2-run HR from Wachsmann to tie the game and Jared Cushing hits a walk-off HR to make the final score 12-11.
Nice to get the bats going again with a 3-game series at Georgetown looming.
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When I saw the weather report, I knew balls would be flying. Nice win.
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The guy doing the Bubble Watch for BA isn't talking to the guy doing the actual bracket projection. They have Xavier as the first team out in their bracket projection. Maybe a sweep of Georgetown this weekend would change their minds?
https://www.baseballamerica.com/stor...d-of-64-may-8/