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View Full Version : Pick the Score: Xeus vs. GoMuskies (boost your chance to advance!)



Michigan Muskie
02-15-2011, 11:11 AM
Are you still alive in XH Madness? Would you like to increase your chance to advance to The Sweet 16? I know the answer is yes because you are all junkies of meaningless contests like this one. Here's the rub:

Based on the probability factor, the match between Xeus and GoMuskies is the closest to a 50/50 proposition. It's the only 3 vs. 6 match we have in the second round. Historically, the (3) wins this game 52.6% of the time.

Here are the parameters:

The total score will fall between 107 and 179 points.
(3) Xeus can win by no more than 26 points.
(6) GoMuskies can win by no more than 24 points.

If you pick the winner, you get 2 points.
If you pick the correct score for either team, you get 3 points.
The closest to the total overall score gets 2 points. If you pick it exactly, you get 3 points.

I will simulate this game first, by itself, before any other round 2 game and here's why: The winner of this contest will receive a 5% boost in probability to advance to the Sweet 16.

If someone who is no longer alive in either bracket contest wins, there will be a second winner selected from the field of Round 1 survivors.

Good luck! Please keep all picks in this thread.

PMI
02-15-2011, 11:15 AM
Wow. My head is spinning. I'll go with Xeus: 76, Go: 69.

Kahns Krazy
02-15-2011, 11:21 AM
I think Xeus's perimiter shooting will prevail.

Xeus :73
Go: 67

nuts4xu
02-15-2011, 11:23 AM
The little man comes up big....

Xeus wins going away.

82-71

XU05and07
02-15-2011, 11:28 AM
Xeus - 78
Go - 70

XU 87
02-15-2011, 11:47 AM
GoMuskies 75

Xeus 71

I would have picked xeus, but then I remembered that post where he talked about the great shopping at the U.S. Open.

Porkopolis
02-15-2011, 11:50 AM
GoMuskies 69
Xeus 68

Hopefully my luck from our Pick the Score contest will carry over here.

American X
02-15-2011, 12:02 PM
Xeus - attacks his opponent like a pack of vicious dogs.

GoMuskies - The Gambler himself probably cleverly has Xeus throwing the game without him even knowing it.

The Wizard of Witchita in an upset - 86-79.

Masterofreality
02-15-2011, 12:42 PM
Xeus "dogs" his opponent with unwavering effort. I foresee a Stephon Curry like performance.

Xeus - 66
GoMuskies - 64

muskiefan82
02-15-2011, 12:48 PM
Xeus: 71
GoMuskies 63

Emp
02-15-2011, 01:01 PM
Well I have to at least cover AmericanX to have a chance in a 1 vs 9 matchup.

But my head is just reeling, too, PMI. Lets say I hit the nail on the head, that means I get 8 points added to my mathematical chance score vs AmX......or it changes my seed formula?

Wait, ignorance is bliss, don't explain it to me.

Xeus 72, MoGuskie 71

Emp
02-15-2011, 01:03 PM
Can I get a side bet on the O/U? Can I make a direct side bet with AmericanX?

Michigan Muskie
02-15-2011, 01:05 PM
Wait, ignorance is bliss, don't explain it to me.

Yeah, let's leave it at this. You're way off.

paulxu
02-15-2011, 01:23 PM
I still haven't a clue what any of this crap means.
Regardless, tough to bet against someone whose name is a god of sorts.
So, I'll go with my regular pick 'em score:

XeUs 78
Other guys 75

ps. that hurts to pick against someone with "muskie' in their name, but XeUs makes up for the pain.

Michigan Muskie
02-15-2011, 01:34 PM
I still haven't a clue what any of this crap means.

Tell you what - come to Cincy for the Charlotte game, buy me a beer, and I'll explain everything to you in detail.

paulxu
02-15-2011, 01:37 PM
Tell you what - come to Cincy for the Charlotte game, buy me a beer, and I'll explain everything to you in detail.

If I get by xuab in the next round, I may take you up on that.
On second thought, I was in Charlotte for the first game, and you see what happened.
I did redeem myself at Georgia.

X-band '01
02-15-2011, 01:40 PM
Supporting a fellow mod:

Xeus 59
GoMuskies 51

I predict a low-scoring game.

Snipe
02-15-2011, 02:22 PM
GoMuskies has never banned me. He probably would have if he could have, but damn it he never did. Xeus even banned Jesus Christ. The man has no shame. You probably thought I wouldn't have forgotten by now, Xeuster. Revenge is a dish best served cold.

Down with Xeus! GoMuskies will dominate the inside game and the glass and walk away with this one. It won't even be a contest.

GoMuskies 69
Xeus 60

Put that in your pipe and smoke it.

Lamont Sanford
02-15-2011, 02:41 PM
Xeus 63
Crossroads & Go 62

PM Thor
02-15-2011, 05:13 PM
Xeus 81
Go 80.

Wait for it....
In Overtime.

Boom! Try the veal.

I HATE dayton.

xuab
02-15-2011, 06:02 PM
Xeus 77
GoMuskies 68

Michigan Muskie
02-16-2011, 12:04 PM
Voting on this contest will end at 6:30 PM. This match will be simulated prior to the 7 PM tip of the X / St. Joe's game tonight.

DC Muskie
02-16-2011, 01:08 PM
I got to go with Xeus since we are now LinkedIn friends.

Xeus 89
The Guy who I am not LinkedIn with 82

Michigan Muskie
02-16-2011, 05:58 PM
Final Score

(3) Xeus 75
(6) GoMuskies 73

Total Score = 148

Congratulations to XU05and07 who guess the total of 148 exactly, earning 3 points plus another 2 for correctly picking Xeus to defeat GoMuskies.

XU05and07 will be rewarded with a 5% boost in probability to advance. As a 14 seed going against (6) Cheese, that 5% will bump the chance of winning up to 20.4%.

Good luck everyone! See you after the X game.

XU05and07
02-16-2011, 06:16 PM
Does the shoe fit? Has the clock approached midnight?

Snipe
02-16-2011, 07:19 PM
Final Score

(3) Xeus 75
(6) GoMuskies 73

Total Score = 148

Congratulations to XU05and07 who guess the total of 148 exactly, earning 3 points plus another 2 for correctly picking Xeus to defeat GoMuskies.

XU05and07 will be rewarded with a 5% boost in probability to advance. As a 14 seed going against (6) Cheese, that 5% will bump the chance of winning up to 20.4%.

Good luck everyone! See you after the X game.

I emailed GoMuskies and told him to pick Xeus to win the game, that way he would have gotten two points too. That would have put this game at a tie and we would have had a Constitutional Crisis in sorting it out between two lawyers. It would have been Florida and hanging chads all over again.

GoMuskies took the high road. I would have gone for the jugular. It would have made the difference. He could have won the game if he predicted the score, and we would have been in kangaroo court for ages.

What could have been...

Jumpy
02-16-2011, 07:49 PM
That's alright that I didn't get it. That extra 5% would have just meant that my beat down of DC would have turned into such an embarrassment that he would have no choice but to go in exile. As it stands, I'm going to bitch slap him so many times in the millisecond that it takes to run the sim that Flash Gordon will be jealous.